Latest UFC 252 Odds & Predictions For Miocic vs. Cormier Fight

August 11, 2020 by Ryan Knuppel

Ultimate Fighting ChampionshipThe UFC has a must watch event coming up.

The discussion for one of the best heavyweight fighters to ever step foot in the octagon can be put to rest on August 15.

This will be the third fight between Stipe Miocic and Daniel Cormier, with the the first at UFC 226 which Cormier was named winner despite controversial circumstances (Stipe had both eyes poked multiple times before the knockdown). Miocic reclaimed the UFC Heavyweight Championship belt at UFC 241 despite again on the receiving end of multiple eye pokes.

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UFC – Ultimate Fighting Championship

 

Main Event Breakdown

* Odds have been provided by Bovada and are accurate of 10 August 2020

Stipe Miocic (19-3-0)

Odds to win: -110

Miocic is currently sitting atop the heavyweight division as the champion. Taking a look into his fighting resume, it reveals him having 15 wins by knockout and 4 by decision.

His striking accuracy is at 52 percent and his grappling accuracy is at 38 percent. He delivers 4.95 significant strikes a minute while taking on 3.69. I like this ratio and his aggressiveness, but I would like to see if he could defend better.

Miocic has a moderate takedown defense around 73 percent and defends against significant strikes at 57 percent. Per 15 minutes of fight time, he also averages 2.20 takedowns but nothing really for submissions on average.

Daniel Cormier (22-2-0)

Odds to win: -120

Cormier is certainly the best ranked fighter in the heavyweight division, but only behind Miocic at the current moment. Looking into his fighting resume, it reveals that he has 10 wins by knockout, 7 by decision, and 5 by submission.

DC” has his striking accuracy coming in at 54 percent and his grappling accuracy is at 46 percent. He delivers 4.42 significant strikes a minute and takes on 3.95. This ratio is eerily similar to Miocic’s, so we already can tell that this will be a close fight. The same logic applies here, as the ratio would be great if he defended better.

Cormier has a very solid takedown defense at 77 percent and he defends against significant strikes at 56 percent. Every 15 minutes of fight time, he also averages 1.81 takedowns and 0.66 submissions.

Official Pick

This will be an excellent fight, no doubt. The first time they met, Cormier got a knockout victory early in the first round. However, the second meeting Miocic got him back with a 4th round knockout.

Judging by the second meeting, Cormier was way more aggressive and seemed to have figured out Miocic. On strikes landed alone, Cormier led 460 to Miocic 270, and Cormier had nearly a 73 percent accuracy. I like Cormier for a knockout victory.

Preview Of Other Main Event

Sean O’Malley: -335
Marlon Vera: +255

Sean O’Malley (12-0-0) is beginning to make a huge name for himself, and is now ranked 14th in the bantamweight division. His undefeated fighting resume reveals that he has 8 wins by knockout, 1 by submission, and 3 by decision.

Sugar” strikes with an accuracy at 58 percent and his grappling accuracy is at 50 percent. He delivers an impressive 6.86 significant strikes a minute while taking on 3.75. This ratio is highly aggressive and shows he can defend well.

O’Malley has a decent takedown defense around 61 percent and defends against significant strikes at 66 percent. Every 15 minutes of fight time, he also averages 1.18 takedowns and 1.12 submissions.

Marlon Vera (15-6-1) has put up some great numbers in the bantamweight division. Looking into his fighting resume, it shows that he has 5 wins by knockout, 8 by submission, and 2 by decision.

Chitostrikes with an accuracy of 48 percent and his grappling accuracy is at 42 percent. He delivers 3.70 significant strikes a minute and takes on 4.11. This ratio is moving past the negative side, meaning he takes on more hits than he delivers which is not good against someone like O’Malley.

Vera has a little bit higher takedown defense around 69 percent and defends against significant strikes at 52 percent. Per 15 minutes of fight time, he also averages 0.88 takedowns and 1.30 submissions.

Official Pick

I would not say this one is lopsided, because Vera does have a legitimate chance to win here. However, I like O’Malley a lot here and it could end very early if he comes out very aggressive.

On significant strikes alone, O’Malley could mess around the entire fight if he wanted and still strike more than him.

Ryan Knuppel

Ryan Knuppel Author

Ryan (aka Knup) has been writing sports betting content for over a decade now. He covers anything and everything related to United Stats sports including football, basketball, baseball, golf and more. He has finished first place in several gambling related contests over the years which gives him instant credibility in the betting world. Ryan is a die-hard St. Louis...

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